Peptide basics

One compound, two trials: SELECT was 72% men, STEP 1 was 74% women

On this page
  1. The two tables, side by side
  2. The criteria that produced the difference
  3. The trial in the middle
  4. Why this matters when reading a claim
  5. Common questions

STEP 1 randomised 1,961 adults, 74.1% female, with a mean age of 46 and a minimum entry age of 18.

SELECT randomised 17,604 adults, 72.3% male, with a mean age of 61.6 and a minimum entry age of 45.

The difference is explained by the eligibility criteria. SELECT required established cardiovascular disease; STEP 1 did not.

So a claim about semaglutide describes very different people depending on which trial it came from, and the trial is usually not named in the headline.

This page contains no dose, schedule or route, and makes no claim about what any compound does. It compares the enrolled populations of two trials of the same compound to show how much a roster depends on the question being asked.

The two tables, side by side

STEP 1's posted baseline characteristics record 1,453 female and 508 male participants out of 1,961 randomised, with a mean age of 46 years. Its inclusion criteria required an age of 18 or over.14

SELECT's posted baseline characteristics record 12,732 male and 4,872 female participants out of 17,604 randomised, with a mean age of 61.6 years. Its inclusion criteria required an age of 45 or over.23

  • Sex: 74.1% female in STEP 1; 72.3% male in SELECT.
  • Mean age: 46 years in STEP 1; 61.6 years in SELECT.
  • Minimum entry age: 18 in STEP 1; 45 in SELECT.
  • Size: 1,961 randomised in STEP 1; 17,604 in SELECT.12

Same compound, same sponsor, overlapping years. The populations are close to inverted on sex and separated by more than fifteen years on mean age.12

The criteria that produced the difference

SELECT required established cardiovascular disease, evidenced by prior myocardial infarction, prior ischaemic or haemorrhagic stroke, or symptomatic peripheral arterial disease. That single criterion selects a population, and it selected this one.2

STEP 1 required a body-mass index at or above 30, or at or above 27 with a listed weight-related comorbidity, plus a history of at least one self-reported unsuccessful dietary effort to lose weight. No cardiovascular event was required.1

Both trials excluded participants with a glycated haemoglobin at or above 48 mmol/mol (6.5%) at screening, so diabetes status does not explain the gap between them.12

The trial in the middle

STEP 2 studied people with type 2 diabetes and sits between the two extremes. It randomised 1,210 participants: 616 female and 594 male, with a mean age of 55 years.5

Three trials of one compound, three different populations, ordered by how much comorbidity the entry criteria required. That is a gradient, not noise.125

Why this matters when reading a claim

Most claims about semaglutide are stated without naming the trial. If the claim is about weight, it almost certainly traces to a population that was three-quarters women in their forties. If it is about cardiovascular events, it traces to one that was almost three-quarters men in their sixties.12

Those are not interchangeable. A result established in one of those groups has not been established in the other, and neither trial was designed to bridge the gap.34

The approved US labeling keeps them separate for the same reason, describing weight-management study results and cardiovascular outcome study results in distinct sections rather than merging them into one claim.6

Semaglutide is the only compound on this site with two very large trials in near-opposite populations. When a claim about it appears without a trial name attached, the first useful question is which of the two it came from.

Common questions

Does SELECT fill the gap left by the mostly-female weight trials?

Only partly. It supplies a large older, mostly male population for the same compound, but its endpoints were cardiovascular events in people with established cardiovascular disease, not weight-management outcomes in the general overweight population.

Why would a weight trial recruit mostly women and a heart trial mostly men?

The registry records the outcome rather than the cause. What can be checked is that SELECT required a prior heart attack, stroke, or symptomatic peripheral arterial disease to enter, and STEP 1 did not.

Which trial should I trust more?

Neither is more trustworthy. They answer different questions in different populations. The mistake is treating a result from one as though it came from the other.

Sources

  1. Primary study
    STEP 1 (NCT03548935) — eligibility criteria and posted resultsClinicalTrials.gov, U.S. National Library of Medicine, 2021clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03548935Back to text
  2. Primary study
    SELECT (NCT03574597) — eligibility criteria and posted resultsClinicalTrials.gov, U.S. National Library of Medicine, 2023clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03574597Back to text
  3. Primary study
    Semaglutide and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Obesity without DiabetesLincoff AM, Brown-Frandsen K, Colhoun HM, et al.. New England Journal of Medicine, 2023 · doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2307563 · PMID 37952131doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2307563Back to text
  4. Primary study
    Once-Weekly Semaglutide in Adults with Overweight or Obesity (STEP 1)Wilding JPH, Batterham RL, Calanna S, et al.. New England Journal of Medicine, 2021 · doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2032183 · PMID 33567185doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2032183Back to text
  5. Primary study
    STEP 2 (NCT03552757) — posted results, baseline characteristicsClinicalTrials.gov, U.S. National Library of Medicine, 2021clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03552757Back to text
  6. Product label
    WEGOVY (semaglutide) injection — Prescribing InformationU.S. Food and Drug Administration, 2021www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/label/2021/215256s000lbl.Back to text